Tiszaújváros vs Tarpa: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 20Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sport Park, Tiszaújváros
The Footlab AI model makes Tiszaújváros the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tiszaújváros wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tiszaújváros vs Tarpa?
On Elo ratings, Tiszaújváros has 1,445 points and Tarpa 1,400.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tiszaújváros vs Tarpa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tiszaújváros
Not enough data to predict the Tiszaújváros lineup.
Tarpa
Not enough data to predict the Tarpa lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tiszaújváros have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tarpa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mátészalka(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gödöllő(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kisvárda II(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Karancslapujtő(away) | 4-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Tiszaújváros win, 1 draw, 2 Tarpa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tarpa 0-3 Tiszaújváros | NB III - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Tiszaújváros 1-1 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Tarpa 3-1 Tiszaújváros | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Tarpa 3-1 Tiszaújváros | Magyar Kupa |
Last archived meeting: Tarpa vs Tiszaújváros on Aug 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tiszaújváros score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tarpa score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiszaújváros | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tarpa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tiszaújváros sit 11th in NB III - Northeast (13 points from 10 matches) and Tarpa sit 15th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tiszaújváros | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 6 |
A question about Tiszaújváros vs Tarpa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tiszaújváros vs Tarpa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tiszaújváros the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Tiszaújváros vs Tarpa played?
- Tiszaújváros vs Tarpa is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sport Park, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.