Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi VSE: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 7Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tarpa Sportcentrum, Tarpa
The Footlab model makes Tiszafuredi VSE the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi VSE?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Tarpa (1,440) and Tiszafuredi VSE (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarpa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Tiszafuredi VSE have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Emodi(away) | 1-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | DEAC(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eger(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Füzesabony(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sényő Carnifex(away) | 1-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tiszaújváros(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eger(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | DEAC(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tarpa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tiszafuredi VSE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Tarpa 0-0 Tiszafuredi VSE | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Tiszafuredi VSE 2-1 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi VSE on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tarpa score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tiszafuredi VSE score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarpa | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tiszafuredi VSE | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarpa sit 15th in NB III - Northeast (3 points from 4 matches) and Tiszafuredi VSE sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tarpa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi VSE?
- The Footlab model makes Tiszafuredi VSE the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi VSE played?
- Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi VSE is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tarpa Sportcentrum, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.