Tartu Welco vs Pärnu: result 1-3 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 5Kick-off on May 22, 2021 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, Tartu
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What was the result of Tartu Welco vs Pärnu?
Pärnu won 1-3 on May 22, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 31′S. SimanisPärnu
- 37′S. SimanisPärnu
- 65′S. SimanisPärnu
- 68′Karl Joosep MarkTartu Welco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Welco have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Pärnu have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2021 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| May 9, 2021 | Nõmme United(away) | 0-4 | Esiliiga A |
| May 6, 2021 | Elva(away) | 2-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Flora II(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 29, 2020 | Kuressaare(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2021 | Maardu(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga A |
| May 9, 2021 | Luunja(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| May 6, 2021 | Nõmme United(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Elva(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 21, 2020 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Welco score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pärnu score 2.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Welco | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Pärnu | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy