Tau Altopascio vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Altopascio, Altopascio
The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tau Altopascio vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Tau Altopascio starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tau Altopascio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Gavorrano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Poggibonsi(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cannara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tau Altopascio win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Tau Altopascio 2-1 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0-0 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-2 Tau Altopascio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 2-2 Tau Altopascio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-1 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Tau Altopascio 2-0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Tau Altopascio vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tau Altopascio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tau Altopascio sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone E (63 points from 34 matches) and Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 11th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tau Altopascio | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 63 |
| 11 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tau Altopascio vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
- The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
- Where and when is Tau Altopascio vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano played?
- Tau Altopascio vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Altopascio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.