Grassina vs Tau Altopascio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio di Grassina, Bagno a Ripoli
The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Tau Altopascio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grassina vs Tau Altopascio?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Grassina (1,759) and Tau Altopascio (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grassina have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Tau Altopascio have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | Aglianese(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Gavorrano(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Flaminia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Cannara(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Scandicci(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Gavorrano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Poggibonsi(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cannara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassina | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tau Altopascio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tau Altopascio | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grassina vs Tau Altopascio?
- The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Tau Altopascio.
- Where and when is Grassina vs Tau Altopascio played?
- Grassina vs Tau Altopascio is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Grassina, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027TernanavsLucchese
- Feb 14, 2027Robur SienavsProgresso
- Feb 14, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsScandicci
- Feb 14, 2027Sasso Marconi ZolavsMezzolara
- Feb 14, 2027FlaminiavsSeravezza
- Feb 14, 2027San Donato TavarnellevsPrato
- Feb 14, 2027Terranuova TraianavsGavorrano
- Feb 14, 2027RondinellavsMontevarchi Calcio