Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Tau Altopascio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Carraia, Coreglia Antelminelli
The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Tau Altopascio?
Tau Altopascio starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Tau Altopascio have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Gavorrano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Poggibonsi(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cannara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Tau Altopascio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Tau Altopascio 2-1 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0-0 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-2 Tau Altopascio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 2-2 Tau Altopascio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-1 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Tau Altopascio 2-0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Tau Altopascio vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Tau Altopascio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 11th in Serie D - Girone E (40 points from 34 matches) and Tau Altopascio sit 3rd (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tau Altopascio | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 63 |
| 11 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Tau Altopascio?
- The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
- Where and when is Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Tau Altopascio played?
- Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Tau Altopascio is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Carraia, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.