Montevarchi Calcio vs Ternana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ternana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Ternana?
Ternana starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montevarchi Calcio vs Ternana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Ternana
Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Ternana have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Montevarchi Calcio wins, 0 draws, 2 Ternana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana 4-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-4 Ternana | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ternana vs Montevarchi Calcio on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montevarchi Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ternana | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montevarchi Calcio sit 12th in Serie D - Girone E (7 points from 6 matches) and Ternana sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Montevarchi Calcio vs Ternana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Ternana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Ternana played?
- Montevarchi Calcio vs Ternana is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.