Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 32% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Montevarchi Calcio (1,692) and Seravezza (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Seravezza have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Figline(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Prato(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Montevarchi Calcio win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Seravezza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Seravezza 1-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 3-2 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-0 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Seravezza 2-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Seravezza 1-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-2 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.7 | 0.3 | 10 | 4/15 | 0/15 |
| Seravezza | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montevarchi Calcio sit 9th in Serie D - Girone E (46 points from 34 matches) and Seravezza sit 5th (57 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Seravezza | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 57 |
| 9 | Montevarchi Calcio | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza?
- The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 32% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza played?
- Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027TernanavsMezzolara
- Jan 17, 2027Robur SienavsTau Altopascio
- Jan 17, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsGavorrano
- Jan 17, 2027Sasso Marconi ZolavsFlaminia
- Jan 17, 2027GrassinavsPrato
- Jan 17, 2027San Donato TavarnellevsTerranuova Traiana
- Jan 17, 2027ProgressovsLucchese
- Jan 17, 2027RondinellavsScandicci