Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
The Footlab AI model makes Seravezza the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Seravezza wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza?
Seravezza starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,627).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Seravezza
Not enough data to predict the Seravezza lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Seravezza have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lucchese(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Montevarchi Calcio win, 3 draws, 2 Seravezza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Seravezza 1-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Seravezza 1-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 3-2 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-0 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Seravezza 2-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Seravezza 1-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montevarchi Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Seravezza score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Seravezza | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montevarchi Calcio sit 12th in Serie D - Girone E (7 points from 6 matches) and Seravezza sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Seravezza | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Seravezza the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza played?
- Montevarchi Calcio vs Seravezza is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027TernanavsMezzolara
- Jan 17, 2027Robur SienavsTau Altopascio
- Jan 17, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsGavorrano
- Jan 17, 2027Sasso Marconi ZolavsFlaminia
- Jan 17, 2027GrassinavsPrato
- Jan 17, 2027San Donato TavarnellevsTerranuova Traiana
- Jan 17, 2027ProgressovsLucchese
- Jan 17, 2027RondinellavsScandicci