Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl'
The Footlab model makes Shinnik Yaroslavl the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Tekstilshchik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Shinnik Yaroslavl (1,854) and Tekstilshchik (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shinnik Yaroslavl have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Tekstilshchik have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shinnik Yaroslavl win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tekstilshchik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | Tekstilshchik 0-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-3 Tekstilshchik | First League |
| Jul 25, 2020 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Tekstilshchik | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2020 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-2 Tekstilshchik | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 3-0 Tekstilshchik | First League |
| Aug 21, 2019 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-0 Tekstilshchik | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tekstilshchik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl on Apr 17, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tekstilshchik score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tekstilshchik | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 6th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and Tekstilshchik sit 15th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 15 | Tekstilshchik | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
- The Footlab model makes Shinnik Yaroslavl the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Tekstilshchik.
- Where and when is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik played?
- Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Shinnik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.