Match

Tekstilshchik vs Ural: prediction and stats

First LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tekstilshchik, Ivanovo

TekstilshchikUral

The Footlab model makes Ural the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Tekstilshchik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Ural?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Tekstilshchik (1,800) and Ural (1,898).

Tekstilshchik win34 %
Draw29 %
Ural win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tekstilshchik have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ural have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tekstilshchik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ural(away)0-2First League
Aug 19, 2026KAMAZ(away)1-0First League
Aug 15, 2026Nizhny Novgorod(home)1-3First League
Aug 8, 2026Enisey(away)0-0First League
Aug 1, 2026FK Neftekhimik(away)0-1First League
Ural
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tekstilshchik(home)2-0First League
Aug 14, 2026Rotor Volgograd(away)1-1First League
Aug 8, 2026FC UFA(home)3-0First League
Aug 2, 2026Ska-khabarovsk(away)3-0First League
Jul 26, 2026Leningradets(away)0-0First League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tekstilshchik win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ural win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ural 2-0 TekstilshchikFirst League

Last archived meeting: Ural vs Tekstilshchik on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tekstilshchik score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ural score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tekstilshchik1.01.075/155/15
Ural1.50.683/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tekstilshchik sit 14th in First League (6 points from 8 matches) and Ural sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Ural742112214
14Tekstilshchik81345106

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tekstilshchik vs Ural?
The Footlab model makes Ural the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Tekstilshchik.
Where and when is Tekstilshchik vs Ural played?
Tekstilshchik vs Ural is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tekstilshchik, in the First League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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