Ural vs Spartak Kostroma: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ekaterinburg Arena, Ekaterinburg
The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Spartak Kostroma. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ural vs Spartak Kostroma?
On Elo ratings, Ural has 1,865 points and Spartak Kostroma 1,853.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ural vs Spartak Kostroma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ural
4-2-3-1- 97I. Ishkov
- 6F. Sungatulin
- 17V. Karapuzov
- 22Léo Cordeiro
- 99B. Fourrier
- 59E. Kharin
- 2S. Begić
- 16Ítalo
- 15D. Tikhiy
- 24A. Korotkov
- 57A. Selikhov
Spartak Kostroma
4-2-3-1- 90A. Kalmykov
- 17D. Kaptilovich
- 87Armin Spahic
- 73D. Kirakosyan
- 22A. Nemchenko
- 18V. Kamilov
- 21M. Bugarin
- 5D. Zhilmostnykh
- 6N. Mohammadi
- 7K. Malyarov
- 50E. Shamov
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 05:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ural have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Spartak Kostroma have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ural win, 2 draws, 0 Spartak Kostroma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma 1-2 Ural | First League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Ural 1-1 Spartak Kostroma | First League |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Ural | First League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Kostroma vs Ural on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ural score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Kostroma score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ural | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Kostroma | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ural sit 6th in First League (25 points from 14 matches) and Spartak Kostroma sit 4th (27 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
A question about Ural vs Spartak Kostroma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ural vs Spartak Kostroma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Spartak Kostroma.
- Where and when is Ural vs Spartak Kostroma played?
- Ural vs Spartak Kostroma is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ekaterinburg Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.