Tenerife II vs Badajoz: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, Santa Cruz de Tenerife
The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Tenerife II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife II vs Badajoz?
Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Badajoz have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elche II(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 31, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 24, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife II score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife II | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Badajoz | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife II vs Badajoz?
- The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Tenerife II.
- Where and when is Tenerife II vs Badajoz played?
- Tenerife II vs Badajoz is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027Sevilla AtleticovsLas Palmas II
- Apr 18, 2027Don BenitovsRecreativo Huelva
- Apr 18, 2027MarbellavsTamaraceite
- Apr 18, 2027SanluqueñovsLinares Deportivo
- Apr 18, 2027Ciudad de LucenavsAntoniano
- Apr 18, 2027Real Betis IIvsEstepona
- Apr 18, 2027XerezvsAtlético Paso
- Apr 18, 2027Mijas Las LagunasvsAtlético Central