Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico?
Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (2,007 vs 1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Sevilla Atletico
4-3-3- 9A. Costa
- 28M. Castillo
- 7M. Sierra
- 22L. Dasilva
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8Eduardo Altozano Agudo
- 20Valentino Fattore
- 3D. Lopez
- 19S. Martinez
- 24A. Espineira
- 25L. Luchino
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Sevilla Atletico have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Badajoz(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Central(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Badajoz win, 3 draws, 0 Sevilla Atletico wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico 2-2 Badajoz | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Badajoz 1-1 Sevilla Atletico | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Sevilla Atletico 1-1 Badajoz | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Badajoz 1-0 Sevilla Atletico | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla Atletico vs Badajoz on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla Atletico score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 1.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Sevilla Atletico | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badajoz sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (14 points from 7 matches) and Sevilla Atletico sit 11th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Badajoz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Sevilla Atletico | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Sevilla Atletico.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico played?
- Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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