Match

Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz

BadajozSevilla Atletico

The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico?

Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,765).

Badajoz win65 %
Draw23 %
Sevilla Atletico win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Sevilla Atletico have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Badajoz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Cuarte(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Cuarte(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Moralo(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 31, 2026Moralo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 24, 2026Jaraíz(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Sevilla Atletico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Alcorcon(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Eldense(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 2, 2026Gimnastic(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Algeciras(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Badajoz win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sevilla Atletico win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 13, 2021Badajoz 1-1 Sevilla AtleticoFriendlies Clubs
Jan 19, 2020Sevilla Atletico 1-1 BadajozPrimera División RFEF - Group 4
Aug 31, 2019Badajoz 1-0 Sevilla AtleticoPrimera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico on Aug 13, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Badajoz2.50.786/1510/15
Sevilla Atletico0.61.527/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico?
The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Sevilla Atletico.
Where and when is Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico played?
Badajoz vs Sevilla Atletico is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Badajoz and Sevilla Atletico

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