Xerez vs Atlético Paso: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera
The Footlab AI model makes Xerez the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Atlético Paso. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,856 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xerez vs Atlético Paso?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Xerez (1,920) and Atlético Paso (1,871).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Xerez vs Atlético Paso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Xerez
Not enough data to predict the Xerez lineup.
Atlético Paso
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Paso lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Paso have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Xerez score 0.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Paso score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xerez | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Atlético Paso | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Xerez | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Xerez vs Atlético Paso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Atlético Paso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Xerez the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Atlético Paso.
- Where and when is Xerez vs Atlético Paso played?
- Xerez vs Atlético Paso is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027Sevilla AtleticovsLas Palmas II
- Apr 18, 2027Don BenitovsRecreativo Huelva
- Apr 18, 2027MarbellavsTamaraceite
- Apr 18, 2027SanluqueñovsLinares Deportivo
- Apr 18, 2027Ciudad de LucenavsAntoniano
- Apr 18, 2027Real Betis IIvsEstepona
- Apr 18, 2027Tenerife IIvsBadajoz
- Apr 18, 2027Mijas Las LagunasvsAtlético Central