Where and when is Xerez vs Atlético Paso played?

Xerez vs Atlético Paso is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Xerez vs Atlético Paso: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera

Xerez

Atlético Paso

The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Paso. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Xerez vs Atlético Paso?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Xerez (1,930) and Atlético Paso (1,876).

Xerez win48 %

Draw29 %

Atlético Paso win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Atlético Paso have 7, 8 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Xerez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portuense(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Conquense(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Ucam Murcia(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Atlético Paso
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Herbania(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Las Palmas III(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	Telde(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026	Marino(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Xerez	0.7	0.5	8	4/15	2/15
Atlético Paso	1.4	0.4	9	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Xerez	34	17	8	9	32	24	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Atlético Paso?: The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Paso.
Where and when is Xerez vs Atlético Paso played?: Xerez vs Atlético Paso is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.