Marbella vs Tamaraceite: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella
The Footlab model makes Marbella the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Tamaraceite. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbella vs Tamaraceite?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Marbella (1,803) and Tamaraceite (1,866).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Tamaraceite have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 2-6 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | San Fernando CD(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | San Fernando CD(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marbella win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tamaraceite win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2021 | Marbella 1-3 Tamaraceite | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Tamaraceite 3-1 Marbella | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Tamaraceite on Jan 31, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tamaraceite | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Tamaraceite?
- The Footlab model makes Marbella the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Tamaraceite.
- Where and when is Marbella vs Tamaraceite played?
- Marbella vs Tamaraceite is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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