Tepatitlán vs Celaya: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 7Kick-off on September 6, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs Celaya?
Tepatitlán won 2-1 on September 6, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 17′C. BaltazarCelaya
- 26′Luis Guadalupe Loroña AguilarTepatitlán
- 90′M. MaresTepatitlán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; Celaya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Tapatío(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Atlante FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Monarcas(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Tlaxcala(home) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Cancún(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | CA La Paz(home) | 5-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Dorados(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Venados FC(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Tapatío(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tepatitlán win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Celaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | Tepatitlán 0-2 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Celaya 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Tepatitlán 1-2 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Celaya 1-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 6, 2022 | Celaya 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 9, 2021 | Tepatitlán 0-1 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 0.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Celaya score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Celaya | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy