Celaya vs Cordobés: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Cordobés. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celaya vs Cordobés?
Celaya starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,800).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celaya vs Cordobés
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Cordobés
Not enough data to predict the Cordobés lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cordobés have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Irapuato(home) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cordobés score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Cordobés | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celaya sit 5th in Primera Premier (13 points from 7 matches) and Cordobés sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 11 | Cordobés | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Celaya vs Cordobés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celaya vs Cordobés?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Cordobés.
- Where and when is Celaya vs Cordobés played?
- Celaya vs Cordobés is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026ChapulinerosvsTritons Vallarta
- Oct 24, 2026Racing de VeracruzvsLos Cabos United
- Oct 24, 2026Pioneros de CancúnvsZacatepec 1948
- Oct 24, 2026TapachulavsH2O Purepechas
- Oct 24, 2026Deportiva VenadosvsTigres de Alica
- Oct 25, 2026Jaguares de ChiapasvsReboceros La Piedad
- Oct 25, 2026Inter Playa del CarmenvsIrapuato
- Oct 25, 2026MontañesesvsLobos ULMX