Teplice vs Baník Ostrava: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)AGC Aréna Na Stínadlech, Teplice
The Footlab model makes Teplice the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Baník Ostrava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teplice vs Baník Ostrava?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Teplice (1,932) and Baník Ostrava (1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teplice have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Baník Ostrava have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-4 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Teplice win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Baník Ostrava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Teplice 2-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Teplice 1-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 1-1 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 2-0 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Teplice 2-3 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Baník Ostrava 4-1 Teplice | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Teplice vs Baník Ostrava on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Teplice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teplice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teplice sit 9th in Czech Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Baník Ostrava sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Teplice | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teplice vs Baník Ostrava?
- The Footlab model makes Teplice the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Baník Ostrava.
- Where and when is Teplice vs Baník Ostrava played?
- Teplice vs Baník Ostrava is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at AGC Aréna Na Stínadlech, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.