Zbrojovka Brno vs Pardubice: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Městský fotbalový stadion Srbská, Brno
The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Pardubice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zbrojovka Brno vs Pardubice?
Zbrojovka Brno starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (2,044 vs 1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zbrojovka Brno have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Pardubice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zbrojovka Brno win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Pardubice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Zbrojovka Brno 0-2 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Zbrojovka Brno 2-1 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Pardubice 1-3 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Jun 26, 2021 | Pardubice 0-2 Zbrojovka Brno | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Zbrojovka Brno 1-2 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Pardubice 2-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Zbrojovka Brno vs Pardubice on May 14, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Zbrojovka Brno score 2.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pardubice score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Pardubice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zbrojovka Brno sit 7th in Czech Liga (7 points from 4 matches) and Pardubice sit 13th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Pardubice | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zbrojovka Brno vs Pardubice?
- The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Pardubice.
- Where and when is Zbrojovka Brno vs Pardubice played?
- Zbrojovka Brno vs Pardubice is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Městský fotbalový stadion Srbská, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.