Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion u Nisy, Liberec
The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Slovan Liberec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Slovan Liberec (1,987) and Sparta Praha (2,079).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovan Liberec have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Praha have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Slovan Liberec win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sparta Praha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Slovan Liberec 0-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Sparta Praha 2-2 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Slovan Liberec 0-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Slovan Liberec 1-0 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slovan Liberec score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Liberec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovan Liberec sit 4th in Czech Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Praha sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Slovan Liberec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Slovan Liberec.
- Where and when is Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha played?
- Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Praha is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion u Nisy, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.