Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)AGC Aréna Na Stínadlech, Teplice
The Footlab model makes Sigma Olomouc the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Teplice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Teplice (1,931) and Sigma Olomouc (1,982).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teplice have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sigma Olomouc have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-4 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovácko(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Artis(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Teplice win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sigma Olomouc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Teplice 1-3 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Sigma Olomouc 0-0 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Teplice 1-0 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Sigma Olomouc 2-1 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Teplice 2-0 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Sigma Olomouc 2-1 Teplice | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Teplice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sigma Olomouc score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teplice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sigma Olomouc | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teplice sit 9th in Czech Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Sigma Olomouc sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Teplice | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc?
- The Footlab model makes Sigma Olomouc the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Teplice.
- Where and when is Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc played?
- Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at AGC Aréna Na Stínadlech, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.