Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň
The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Mlada Boleslav. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Plzen (2,054) and Mlada Boleslav (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mlada Boleslav have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlin(home) | 3-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Plzen win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mlada Boleslav win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Plzen 2-1 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Mlada Boleslav 0-5 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Mlada Boleslav 0-2 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Plzen 1-1 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Plzen 3-0 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Plzen 1-1 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav on Nov 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Plzen score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mlada Boleslav score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Mlada Boleslav | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plzen sit 12th in Czech Liga (5 points from 4 matches) and Mlada Boleslav sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 12 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav?
- The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Mlada Boleslav.
- Where and when is Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav played?
- Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.