Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Městský fotbalový stadion Srbská, Brno
The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for FK Jablonec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Zbrojovka Brno (2,047) and FK Jablonec (2,014).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zbrojovka Brno have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zbrojovka Brno win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 FK Jablonec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2023 | FK Jablonec 1-0 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Zbrojovka Brno 1-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Oct 2, 2022 | FK Jablonec 3-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Zbrojovka Brno 1-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Nov 6, 2020 | FK Jablonec 0-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Oct 1, 2019 | FK Jablonec 3-2 Zbrojovka Brno | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FK Jablonec vs Zbrojovka Brno on May 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Zbrojovka Brno score 2.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zbrojovka Brno sit 7th in Czech Liga (7 points from 4 matches) and FK Jablonec sit 6th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for FK Jablonec.
- Where and when is Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec played?
- Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Městský fotbalový stadion Srbská, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.