Ternana vs Mezzolara: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ternana vs Mezzolara?
Ternana starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,565).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ternana vs Mezzolara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ternana
Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.
Mezzolara
Not enough data to predict the Mezzolara lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Mezzolara have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grassina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ternana wins, 0 draws, 1 Mezzolara win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Mezzolara 2-1 Ternana | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Ternana score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mezzolara score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ternana | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Mezzolara | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ternana sit 9th in Serie D - Girone E (9 points from 7 matches) and Mezzolara sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ternana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Mezzolara | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Ternana vs Mezzolara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ternana vs Mezzolara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Mezzolara.
- Where and when is Ternana vs Mezzolara played?
- Ternana vs Mezzolara is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027Robur SienavsTau Altopascio
- Jan 17, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsGavorrano
- Jan 17, 2027Sasso Marconi ZolavsFlaminia
- Jan 17, 2027GrassinavsPrato
- Jan 17, 2027Montevarchi CalciovsSeravezza
- Jan 17, 2027San Donato TavarnellevsTerranuova Traiana
- Jan 17, 2027ProgressovsLucchese
- Jan 17, 2027RondinellavsScandicci