Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Carraia, Coreglia Antelminelli
The Footlab model makes Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Gavorrano?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano (1,637) and Gavorrano (1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Gavorrano have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Camaiore(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gavorrano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 6-2 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Gavorrano 0-2 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Gavorrano 0-2 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 2-5 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 5, 2024 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0-1 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Gavorrano 2-2 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Gavorrano on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Gavorrano | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 11th in Serie D - Girone E (40 points from 34 matches) and Gavorrano sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 44 | 40 |
| 14 | Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 49 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Gavorrano?
- The Footlab model makes Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Gavorrano.
- Where and when is Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Gavorrano played?
- Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Gavorrano is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Carraia, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.