Where and when is Ternana vs Robur Siena played?

Ternana vs Robur Siena is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ternana vs Robur Siena: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni

Ternana

Robur Siena

The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Robur Siena. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ternana vs Robur Siena?

Ternana starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,754).

Ternana win49 %

Draw28 %

Robur Siena win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Robur Siena have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ternana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Pianese(away)	1-1	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 26, 2026	Pianese(home)	1-3	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 18, 2026	Bra(away)	2-1	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Perugia(home)	2-2	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026	Juventus U23(away)	1-2	Serie C - Girone B

Robur Siena
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	San Donato Tavarnelle(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Scandicci(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Prato(away)	1-3	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Sporting Trestina(home)	4-4	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Camaiore(away)	5-2	Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Ternana score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ternana	1.5	1.4	2	11/15	9/15
Robur Siena	2.6	1.4	4	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Robur Siena	34	17	9	8	57	35	60

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ternana vs Robur Siena?: The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Robur Siena.
Where and when is Ternana vs Robur Siena played?: Ternana vs Robur Siena is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.