Match

Ternana vs Robur Siena: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni

TernanaRobur Siena

The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Robur Siena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ternana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ternana vs Robur Siena?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Ternana (1,769) and Robur Siena (1,717).

47%28%25%
Ternana winDrawRobur Siena win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ternana vs Robur Siena

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ternana

Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.

Robur Siena

4-3-3
  1. 7F. Disanto
  2. 9A. Paloschi
  3. 14M. Meli
  1. 55G. Leone
  2. 10N. Belloni
  3. 15R. Collodel
  1. 3A. Favalli
  2. 13L. Crescenzi
  3. 6D. Riccardi
  4. 2A. Raimo
  1. 1I. Lanni

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:55 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Robur Siena have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ternana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lucchese(away)2-2Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026Montevarchi Calcio(home)4-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Scandicci(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Tau Altopascio(home)3-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 16, 2026Mezzolara(away)1-2Serie D - Girone E
Robur Siena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Progresso(away)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Oct 7, 2026Flaminia(away)3-0Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Seravezza(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Lucchese(away)2-3Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Montevarchi Calcio(home)3-0Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Ternana score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Robur Siena score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ternana1.31.3211/158/15
Robur Siena2.31.369/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ternana sit 9th in Serie D - Girone E (8 points from 6 matches) and Robur Siena sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Robur Siena631213810
9Ternana6222958

A question about Ternana vs Robur Siena?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ternana vs Robur Siena?
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Robur Siena.
Where and when is Ternana vs Robur Siena played?
Ternana vs Robur Siena is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ternana and Robur Siena

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