Where and when is Gavorrano vs Prato played?

Gavorrano vs Prato is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gavorrano vs Prato: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Malservisi, Bagno di Gavorrano

Gavorrano

Prato

The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Prato?

Prato starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,644).

Gavorrano win24 %

Draw28 %

Prato win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavorrano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Prato have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gavorrano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Camaiore(home)	3-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Tau Altopascio(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Scandicci(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Orvietana Calcio(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

Prato
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Seravezza(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026	Robur Siena(home)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Montevarchi Calcio(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Grosseto(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Gavorrano win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Prato win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Gavorrano 2-1 Prato	Serie D - Girone E
Sep 28, 2025	Prato 2-0 Gavorrano	Serie D - Girone E
Jan 16, 2022	Prato 1-2 Gavorrano	Coppa Italia Serie D
Feb 4, 2018	Gavorrano 1-1 Prato	Serie C - Girone A
Sep 24, 2017	Prato 1-0 Gavorrano	Serie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Gavorrano vs Prato on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gavorrano	1.1	1.4	2	9/15	5/15
Prato	1.6	0.6	10	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gavorrano sit 14th in Serie D - Girone E (37 points from 34 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Prato	34	20	5	9	49	29	63
14	Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36	49	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gavorrano vs Prato?: The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Gavorrano.
Where and when is Gavorrano vs Prato played?: Gavorrano vs Prato is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.