Match

Gavorrano vs Prato: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Malservisi, Bagno di Gavorrano

GavorranoPrato

The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Prato?

Prato starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,698).

23%29%48%
Gavorrano winDrawPrato win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gavorrano vs Prato

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gavorrano

4-3-3
  1. 9Cristian Carlo Brega
  2. 19R. Barbuti
  3. 11M. Malotti
  1. 8Loris Damonte
  2. 25Leandro Vitiello
  3. 21F. Conti
  1. 3P. Ropolo
  2. 23D. Mori
  3. 6D. Marchetti
  4. 16G. Favale
  1. 1W. Falcone

Prato

Not enough data to predict the Prato lineup.

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavorrano have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Prato have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gavorrano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Terranuova Traiana(home)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026Flaminia(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 16, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Prato
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(home)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Oct 7, 2026Terranuova Traiana(away)3-0Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 3, 2026Terranuova Traiana(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(away)1-0Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Gavorrano wins, 1 draw, 2 Prato wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Gavorrano 2-1 PratoSerie D - Girone E
Sep 28, 2025Prato 2-0 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E
Jan 16, 2022Prato 1-2 GavorranoCoppa Italia Serie D
Feb 4, 2018Gavorrano 1-1 PratoSerie C - Girone A
Sep 24, 2017Prato 1-0 GavorranoSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Gavorrano vs Prato on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gavorrano score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gavorrano1.30.859/154/15
Prato1.70.596/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gavorrano sit 1st in Serie D - Girone E (14 points from 6 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Gavorrano64209314
2Prato64209414

A question about Gavorrano vs Prato?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gavorrano vs Prato?
The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Gavorrano.
Where and when is Gavorrano vs Prato played?
Gavorrano vs Prato is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gavorrano and Prato

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