Where and when is Ternana vs Tau Altopascio played?

Ternana vs Tau Altopascio is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ternana vs Tau Altopascio: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni

Ternana

Tau Altopascio

The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Tau Altopascio. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ternana vs Tau Altopascio?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Ternana (1,861) and Tau Altopascio (1,770).

Ternana win48 %

Draw28 %

Tau Altopascio win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tau Altopascio have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ternana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Pianese(away)	1-1	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 26, 2026	Pianese(home)	1-3	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 18, 2026	Bra(away)	2-1	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Perugia(home)	2-2	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026	Juventus U23(away)	1-2	Serie C - Girone B

Tau Altopascio
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Seravezza(home)	0-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Gavorrano(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Terranuova Traiana(home)	3-2	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Poggibonsi(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Cannara(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Ternana score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ternana	1.5	1.4	2	11/15	9/15
Tau Altopascio	1.3	1.3	3	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Tau Altopascio	34	18	9	7	53	33	63

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ternana vs Tau Altopascio?: The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Tau Altopascio.
Where and when is Ternana vs Tau Altopascio played?: Ternana vs Tau Altopascio is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Libero Liberati, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.