Tesla vs Paraense SC: prediction and stats
Paraense A3Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Tesla the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Paraense SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tesla vs Paraense SC?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Tesla (1,575) and Paraense SC (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Tesla have 3 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Paraense SC have 3, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Atletico Paraense(away) | 0-7 | Paraense A3 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Atletico Paraense(home) | 1-5 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Sport Belem(home) | 2-3 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Tiradentes PA(away) | 3-0 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Sport Belem(away) | 0-3 | Paraense A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | Santos PA(away) | 0-3 | Paraense A3 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Santos PA(home) | 3-1 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Pedreira(home) | 6-0 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Belenense(away) | 0-2 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Pedreira(away) | 0-4 | Paraense A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tesla score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 11; Paraense SC score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 7/11 | 9/11 |
| Paraense SC | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 1/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tesla sit 2nd in Paraense A3 (6 points from 4 matches) and Paraense SC sit 2nd (6 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tesla | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Paraense SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tesla vs Paraense SC?
- The Footlab model makes Tesla the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Paraense SC.
- Where and when is Tesla vs Paraense SC played?
- Tesla vs Paraense SC is played on September 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Paraense A3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.