Thes Sport vs Heist: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 20Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcentrum Tessenderlo, Tessenderlo
The Footlab model makes Heist the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Thes Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thes Sport vs Heist?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Thes Sport (1,855) and Heist (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thes Sport have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Heist have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 6-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bocholt(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Berchem Sport(away) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Thes Sport win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Heist win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Thes Sport 1-1 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Heist 0-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Thes Sport 1-2 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Heist 4-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Heist 1-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Thes Sport 3-1 Heist | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Heist score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Heist | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thes Sport vs Heist?
- The Footlab model makes Heist the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Thes Sport.
- Where and when is Thes Sport vs Heist played?
- Thes Sport vs Heist is played on January 30, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcentrum Tessenderlo, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.