Mandel United vs Merelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 20Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Skyline Arena, Izegem
The Footlab AI model makes Mandel United the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mandel United vs Merelbeke?
Mandel United starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,008 vs 1,837).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mandel United vs Merelbeke
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mandel United
Not enough data to predict the Mandel United lineup.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mandel United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Merelbeke have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mandel United wins, 3 draws, 1 Merelbeke win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Merelbeke 0-2 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Merelbeke 1-1 Mandel United | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Mandel United 1-0 Merelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Sep 30, 2020 | Mandel United 1-1 Merelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Dec 22, 2019 | Merelbeke 3-1 Mandel United | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Mandel United 2-2 Merelbeke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Merelbeke vs Mandel United on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mandel United score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Merelbeke score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandel United | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Merelbeke | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Mandel United vs Merelbeke?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mandel United vs Merelbeke?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mandel United the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Mandel United vs Merelbeke played?
- Mandel United vs Merelbeke is played on January 30, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Skyline Arena, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.