Middelfart vs Naestved: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Middelfart Stadion, Middelfart
The Footlab AI model makes Middelfart the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Naestved. The most likely score is 1-1. If Middelfart wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middelfart vs Naestved?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Middelfart (1,656) and Naestved (1,700).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Middelfart vs Naestved
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Middelfart
4-3-3- 11J. Villemoes
- 10A. Akalé
- 39L. Wehmeyer
- 12Lasse Thomsen
- 5B. Zjajo
- 20Rasmus Koch
- 28Victor Hegelund
- 22C. Boyum
- 77Alberto Vogtmann
- 2P. Matiebel
- 1T. Jakobsen
Naestved
Not enough data to predict the Naestved lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middelfart have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Naestved have 4, 10 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | B 93(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Skive(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FA 2000(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Middelfart(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Fremad Amager(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Middelfart wins, 1 draw, 2 Naestved wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Naestved 2-2 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| May 24, 2025 | Middelfart 3-0 Naestved | 2. Division |
| May 11, 2025 | Naestved 0-1 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Middelfart 0-1 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Naestved 0-2 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Middelfart 1-2 Naestved | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Naestved vs Middelfart on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Middelfart score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Naestved score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middelfart | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Naestved | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middelfart sit 5th in 2. Division (17 points from 11 matches) and Naestved sit 6th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Middelfart | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 17 |
| 6 | Naestved | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
A question about Middelfart vs Naestved?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middelfart vs Naestved?
- The Footlab AI model makes Middelfart the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Naestved.
- Where and when is Middelfart vs Naestved played?
- Middelfart vs Naestved is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Middelfart Stadion, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.