Middelfart vs Naestved: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Middelfart Stadion, Middelfart
The Footlab model makes Naestved the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Middelfart. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middelfart vs Naestved?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Middelfart (1,678) and Naestved (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middelfart have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Naestved have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roskilde(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Brabrand(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bredballe(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nykobing FC(away) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HIK(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hvidovre(home) | 1-0 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Middelfart win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Naestved win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Middelfart 3-0 Naestved | 2. Division |
| May 11, 2025 | Naestved 0-1 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Middelfart 0-1 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Naestved 0-2 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Middelfart 1-2 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Naestved 4-0 Middelfart | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Middelfart vs Naestved on May 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Middelfart score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Naestved score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middelfart | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Naestved | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middelfart sit 3rd in 2. Division (7 points from 4 matches) and Naestved sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middelfart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Naestved | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middelfart vs Naestved?
- The Footlab model makes Naestved the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Middelfart.
- Where and when is Middelfart vs Naestved played?
- Middelfart vs Naestved is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Middelfart Stadion, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.