Thisted FC vs Roskilde: result 3-2 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 21, 2018 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Sparekassen Thy Arena, Thisted
Full time
What was the result of Thisted FC vs Roskilde?
Thisted FC won 3-2 on October 21, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 4′Morten NielsenRoskilde
- 37′M. ThygesenRoskilde
- 69′L. BustThisted FC
- 70′Casper OlesenThisted FC
- 78′S. TukiainenThisted FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thisted FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Roskilde have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2018 | Hvidovre(away) | 1-5 | 1. Division |
| Oct 7, 2018 | FC Fredericia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2018 | Odense(home) | 0-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Fremad Amager(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Viborg(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2018 | Naestved(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Nykobing FC(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 30, 2018 | FC Helsingor(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Aalborg(home) | 0-5 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Hvidovre(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Thisted FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Roskilde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2018 | Roskilde 2-2 Thisted FC | 1. Division |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Roskilde 3-1 Thisted FC | 1. Division |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Thisted FC 1-1 Roskilde | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Roskilde 2-3 Thisted FC | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Roskilde vs Thisted FC on Aug 26, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Thisted FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Roskilde score 1.5 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thisted FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Roskilde | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy