Thyella Katsikas vs Florina: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 12Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gípedo Kátsika, Katsikas
The Footlab model makes Thyella Katsikas the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Florina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thyella Katsikas vs Florina?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Thyella Katsikas (1,485) and Florina (1,429).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thyella Katsikas have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Florina have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2024 | Larisa(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Astir Stavros(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Trikala(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Vataniakos(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Svoronos(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | Niki Agkathia(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Giannitsa(home) | 3-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Almopos(away) | 0-7 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Nea Kallikrateia(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thyella Katsikas score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Florina score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thyella Katsikas | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Florina | 1.1 | 1.7 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thyella Katsikas vs Florina?
- The Footlab model makes Thyella Katsikas the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Florina.
- Where and when is Thyella Katsikas vs Florina played?
- Thyella Katsikas vs Florina is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gípedo Kátsika, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.