Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gípedo Kátsika, Katsikas
The Footlab AI model makes Thyella Katsikas the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Kastoria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thyella Katsikas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Thyella Katsikas (1,531) and Kastoria (1,433).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thyella Katsikas
Not enough data to predict the Thyella Katsikas lineup.
Kastoria
Not enough data to predict the Kastoria lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thyella Katsikas have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kastoria have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Naousa(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | PAS Giannina(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Larisa(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Astir Stavros(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Trikala(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Mascholouriou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Makedonikos Siatista(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vatolakkos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Svoronos(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Eordaikos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Thyella Katsikas win, 0 draws, 1 Kastoria win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Kastoria 0-2 Thyella Katsikas | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Thyella Katsikas 0-2 Kastoria | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kastoria vs Thyella Katsikas on Mar 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Thyella Katsikas score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kastoria score 0.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thyella Katsikas | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Kastoria | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thyella Katsikas sit 9th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (1 point from 2 matches) and Kastoria sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kastoria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Thyella Katsikas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thyella Katsikas the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Kastoria.
- Where and when is Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria played?
- Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gípedo Kátsika, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.