Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gípedo Kátsika, Katsikas
The Footlab model makes Thyella Katsikas the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Kastoria. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria?
Thyella Katsikas starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,485 vs 1,360).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thyella Katsikas have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kastoria have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2024 | Larisa(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Astir Stavros(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Trikala(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Vataniakos(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Svoronos(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Svoronos(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Eordaikos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Asteras Petriti(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Zakynthos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Thyella Katsikas(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Thyella Katsikas win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kastoria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Kastoria 0-2 Thyella Katsikas | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Thyella Katsikas 0-2 Kastoria | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kastoria vs Thyella Katsikas on Mar 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Thyella Katsikas score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kastoria score 0.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thyella Katsikas | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Kastoria | 0.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria?
- The Footlab model makes Thyella Katsikas the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Kastoria.
- Where and when is Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria played?
- Thyella Katsikas vs Kastoria is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gípedo Kátsika, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.