Tienen vs Dessel Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bergéstadion, Tirlemont
The Footlab model makes Dessel Sport the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tienen vs Dessel Sport?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Tienen (1,778) and Dessel Sport (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tienen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dessel Sport have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 5-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tienen win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Dessel Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tienen 1-3 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Dessel Sport 1-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Dessel Sport 2-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Tienen 2-1 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| May 11, 2024 | Tienen 0-4 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Dessel Sport 2-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Tienen vs Dessel Sport on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dessel Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Dessel Sport | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tienen sit 15th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Dessel Sport sit 7th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dessel Sport | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tienen vs Dessel Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Dessel Sport the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Tienen vs Dessel Sport played?
- Tienen vs Dessel Sport is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bergéstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.