Houtvenne vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Oosterzonen, Westerlo
The Footlab model makes Houtvenne the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Houtvenne vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Houtvenne (1,837) and Oud-Heverlee Leuven II (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Houtvenne have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Oud-Heverlee Leuven II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 3-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Houtvenne win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 1-1 Houtvenne | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Houtvenne 0-2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Houtvenne on Dec 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Houtvenne score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Oud-Heverlee Leuven II score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houtvenne | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Houtvenne sit 12th in First Amateur Division (13 points from 12 matches) and Oud-Heverlee Leuven II sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Houtvenne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Houtvenne vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II?
- The Footlab model makes Houtvenne the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II.
- Where and when is Houtvenne vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II played?
- Houtvenne vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Oosterzonen, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.