Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 1Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Seminarie, Hoogstraten
The Footlab model makes Hoogstraten the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Hoogstraten (1,877) and Merelbeke (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoogstraten have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Merelbeke have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ninove(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Hoogstraten win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Merelbeke win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Hoogstraten 2-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Merelbeke 0-2 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Hoogstraten 2-1 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Merelbeke 1-3 Hoogstraten | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hoogstraten score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Merelbeke score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoogstraten | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Merelbeke | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoogstraten sit 6th in First Amateur Division (18 points from 11 matches) and Merelbeke sit 14th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hoogstraten | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 18 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke?
- The Footlab model makes Hoogstraten the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke played?
- Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Seminarie, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.