Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Thes Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex De Doelvelden, Berlaar
The Footlab model makes Lyra-Lierse Berlaar the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Thes Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Thes Sport?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Lyra-Lierse Berlaar (1,831) and Thes Sport (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyra-Lierse Berlaar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Thes Sport have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Thes Sport(home) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 6-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Thes Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1-2 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Thes Sport 1-0 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 0-3 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Thes Sport 3-3 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Thes Sport on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar sit 3rd in First Amateur Division (23 points from 13 matches) and Thes Sport sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 23 |
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Thes Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Lyra-Lierse Berlaar the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Thes Sport.
- Where and when is Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Thes Sport played?
- Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Thes Sport is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex De Doelvelden, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.