Tienen vs Heist: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 29Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bergéstadion, Tirlemont
The Footlab model makes Heist the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tienen vs Heist?
Heist starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tienen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Heist have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 5-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bocholt(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Berchem Sport(away) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tienen win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Heist win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2025 | Tienen 2-1 Heist | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Heist 1-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Tienen 3-0 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Heist 2-2 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Tienen 1-1 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Tienen 2-2 Heist | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Heist score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Heist | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tienen vs Heist?
- The Footlab model makes Heist the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Tienen vs Heist played?
- Tienen vs Heist is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bergéstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.