Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Arena Cora, Tepic
The Footlab AI model makes Tigres de Alica the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Tapachula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tigres de Alica wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula?
Tigres de Alica starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,847).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tigres de Alica
Not enough data to predict the Tigres de Alica lineup.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigres de Alica have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tapachula have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(home) | 0-4 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Tigres de Alica score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tapachula score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres de Alica | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Tapachula | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigres de Alica sit 5th in Primera Premier (11 points from 6 matches) and Tapachula sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tigres de Alica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 16 | Tapachula | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tigres de Alica the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Tapachula.
- Where and when is Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula played?
- Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Arena Cora, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Tritons VallartavsPioneros de Cancún
- Oct 31, 2026Reboceros La PiedadvsInter Playa del Carmen
- Oct 31, 2026Zacatepec 1948vsRacing de Veracruz
- Oct 31, 2026CordobésvsJaguares de Chiapas
- Nov 1, 2026IrapuatovsDeportiva Venados
- Nov 1, 2026Lobos ULMXvsChapulineros
- Nov 1, 2026Los Cabos UnitedvsCelaya
- Nov 1, 2026H2O PurepechasvsMontañeses