Lobos ULMX vs Chapulineros: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Lobos ULMX the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Chapulineros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lobos ULMX wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lobos ULMX vs Chapulineros?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Lobos ULMX (1,787) and Chapulineros (1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lobos ULMX vs Chapulineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lobos ULMX
Not enough data to predict the Lobos ULMX lineup.
Chapulineros
Not enough data to predict the Chapulineros lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lobos ULMX have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Chapulineros have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Lobos ULMX score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chapulineros score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos ULMX | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Chapulineros | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lobos ULMX sit 16th in Primera Premier (4 points from 6 matches) and Chapulineros sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 5 |
| 16 | Lobos ULMX | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Lobos ULMX vs Chapulineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lobos ULMX vs Chapulineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lobos ULMX the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Chapulineros.
- Where and when is Lobos ULMX vs Chapulineros played?
- Lobos ULMX vs Chapulineros is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Tritons VallartavsPioneros de Cancún
- Oct 31, 2026Tigres de AlicavsTapachula
- Oct 31, 2026Reboceros La PiedadvsInter Playa del Carmen
- Oct 31, 2026Zacatepec 1948vsRacing de Veracruz
- Oct 31, 2026CordobésvsJaguares de Chiapas
- Nov 1, 2026IrapuatovsDeportiva Venados
- Nov 1, 2026Los Cabos UnitedvsCelaya
- Nov 1, 2026H2O PurepechasvsMontañeses