Los Cabos United vs Celaya: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio de Futbol Don Koll, Cabo San Lucas
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Los Cabos United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celaya wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Cabos United vs Celaya?
Celaya starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,818).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Los Cabos United vs Celaya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Los Cabos United
Not enough data to predict the Los Cabos United lineup.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Cabos United have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Celaya have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(away) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Los Cabos United score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Cabos United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Cabos United sit 10th in Primera Premier (9 points from 7 matches) and Celaya sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Cabos United | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Los Cabos United vs Celaya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Cabos United vs Celaya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Los Cabos United.
- Where and when is Los Cabos United vs Celaya played?
- Los Cabos United vs Celaya is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio de Futbol Don Koll, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Tritons VallartavsPioneros de Cancún
- Oct 31, 2026Tigres de AlicavsTapachula
- Oct 31, 2026Reboceros La PiedadvsInter Playa del Carmen
- Oct 31, 2026Zacatepec 1948vsRacing de Veracruz
- Oct 31, 2026CordobésvsJaguares de Chiapas
- Nov 1, 2026IrapuatovsDeportiva Venados
- Nov 1, 2026Lobos ULMXvsChapulineros
- Nov 1, 2026H2O PurepechasvsMontañeses