Timor-Leste vs Philippines: result 1-0 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on December 5, 2017 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Grand Hamad Stadium (Al-Arabi Stadium), ad-Dōha (Doha)
Full time
What was the result of Timor-Leste vs Philippines?
Timor-Leste won 1-0 on December 5, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Timor-Leste have 0 wins, 1 draw and 14 defeats; Philippines have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2017 | Chinese Taipei(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Laos(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 21, 2016 | Cambodia(away) | 2-3 | ASEAN Championship |
| Oct 18, 2016 | Laos(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Championship |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Brunei(away) | 1-2 | ASEAN Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2017 | Chinese Taipei(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Dec 1, 2017 | Laos(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2017 | Nepal(away) | 0-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Oct 10, 2017 | Yemen(away) | 1-1 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Yemen(home) | 2-2 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Timor-Leste score 0.6 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 15; Philippines score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timor-Leste | 0.6 | 3.7 | 0 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Philippines | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy