Tiszaújváros vs Mátészalka: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sport Park, Tiszaújváros
The Footlab model makes Tiszaújváros the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Mátészalka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tiszaújváros vs Mátészalka?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Tiszaújváros (1,374) and Mátészalka (1,309).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tiszaújváros have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mátészalka have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagybátony(away) | 0-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cigand SE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tiszaújváros win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mátészalka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Tiszaújváros 1-0 Mátészalka | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Mátészalka 1-1 Tiszaújváros | NB III - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Tiszaújváros vs Mátészalka on Mar 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tiszaújváros score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mátészalka score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiszaújváros | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Mátészalka | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tiszaújváros sit 13th in NB III - Northeast (3 points from 4 matches) and Mátészalka sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mátészalka | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Tiszaújváros | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tiszaújváros vs Mátészalka?
- The Footlab model makes Tiszaújváros the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Mátészalka.
- Where and when is Tiszaújváros vs Mátészalka played?
- Tiszaújváros vs Mátészalka is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sport Park, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.