Match

Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara

SagamiharaGainare Tottori

The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Sagamihara (1,770) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).

Sagamihara win52 %
Draw24 %
Gainare Tottori win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kanazawa(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 15, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)4-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)3-0J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026Fujieda MYFC(home)4-3J2/J3 League
Gainare Tottori
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Fukushima United(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Ehime FC(away)0-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Osaka(home)1-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sagamihara win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gainare Tottori win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2025Gainare Tottori 2-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
May 6, 2025Sagamihara 1-0 Gainare TottoriJ3 League
Nov 24, 2024Sagamihara 1-0 Gainare TottoriJ3 League
May 19, 2024Gainare Tottori 0-3 SagamiharaJ3 League
Oct 8, 2023Gainare Tottori 0-0 SagamiharaJ3 League
Mar 4, 2023Sagamihara 2-3 Gainare TottoriJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara on Oct 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sagamihara1.81.568/158/15
Gainare Tottori1.71.5111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sagamihara3210627
10Gainare Tottori3111364

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori?
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gainare Tottori.
Where and when is Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori played?
Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sagamihara and Gainare Tottori

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