Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Sagamihara (1,770) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-0 | J2/J3 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 4-3 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sagamihara win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | Gainare Tottori 2-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| May 6, 2025 | Sagamihara 1-0 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Sagamihara 1-0 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| May 19, 2024 | Gainare Tottori 0-3 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Gainare Tottori 0-0 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Sagamihara 2-3 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara on Oct 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagamihara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gainare Tottori.
- Where and when is Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori played?
- Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027FC GifuvsParceiro Nagano
- Feb 27, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Feb 27, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsOsaka
- Feb 27, 2027Ehime FCvsTochigi SC
- Feb 27, 2027Thespakusatsu GunmavsNara Club
- Feb 27, 2027KitakyushuvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Feb 27, 2027FC RyukyuvsKagoshima United
- Feb 27, 2027Fukushima UnitedvsKanazawa