Where and when is Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC played?

Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Axis Bird Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori

Gainare Tottori

Tochigi SC

The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Tochigi SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Gainare Tottori (1,694) and Tochigi SC (1,729).

Gainare Tottori win38 %

Draw28 %

Tochigi SC win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainare Tottori have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Tochigi SC have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gainare Tottori
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Ehime FC(away)	0-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Osaka(home)	1-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	FC Gifu(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League

Tochigi SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Urayasu(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	3-2	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-1	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gainare Tottori win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Tochigi SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 23, 2025	Tochigi SC 2-1 Gainare Tottori	J3 League
Jun 21, 2025	Gainare Tottori 2-1 Tochigi SC	J3 League
Nov 19, 2017	Tochigi SC 1-1 Gainare Tottori	J3 League
Mar 19, 2017	Gainare Tottori 1-1 Tochigi SC	J3 League
Nov 5, 2016	Gainare Tottori 0-1 Tochigi SC	J3 League
Mar 13, 2016	Tochigi SC 0-0 Gainare Tottori	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori on Nov 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gainare Tottori	1.5	1.5	1	10/15	9/15
Tochigi SC	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gainare Tottori sit 10th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Tochigi SC	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
10	Gainare Tottori	3	1	1	1	3	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC?: The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Tochigi SC.
Where and when is Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC played?: Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Axis Bird Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.