Adria vs Tolmin: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 25Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Igrišče Pri Štantu Miren, Miren
The Footlab AI model makes Adria the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Tolmin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Adria wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adria vs Tolmin?
On Elo ratings, Adria has 1,389 points and Tolmin 1,503.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Adria vs Tolmin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Adria
Not enough data to predict the Adria lineup.
Tolmin
Not enough data to predict the Tolmin lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adria have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Tolmin have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 7-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Litija(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 5-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izola(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Adria win, 0 draws, 3 Tolmin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2024 | Adria 1-3 Tolmin | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Tolmin 1-0 Adria | Cup |
| Jun 9, 2021 | Tolmin 2-0 Adria | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Adria 3-1 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Adria score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tolmin score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adria | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Tolmin | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adria sit 9th in 3. SNL - West (10 points from 9 matches) and Tolmin sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tolmin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Adria | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Adria vs Tolmin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adria vs Tolmin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Adria the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Tolmin.
- Where and when is Adria vs Tolmin played?
- Adria vs Tolmin is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Igrišče Pri Štantu Miren, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.