Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 10Kick-off on October 2, 2023 at 11:20 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas drew 1-1 on October 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 62′I. LópezToluca
- 69′R. MarínGuadalajara Chivas
Official lineup for Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 9Pedro Raul
- 16J. Meneses
- 10J. Angulo
- 28J. Gamboa
- 23C. Baeza
- 14M. Ruiz
- 11M. Araújo
- 4V. Huerta
- 26A. Mosquera
- 17B. García
- 1Tiago Volpi
Guadalajara Chivas
5-3-2- 18R. Cisneros
- 14R. Marín
- 20F. Beltrán
- 28R. González
- 25R. Alvarado
- 26C. Calderón
- 13J. Orozco
- 4A. Briseño
- 3G. Sepúlveda
- 2A. Mozo
- 27J. Rangel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Guadalajara Chivas have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2023 | Club America(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 3, 2023 | CF Pachuca(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Monterrey(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2023 | Mazatlán(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2023 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Club America(away) | 0-4 | Liga MX |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Leon(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Monterrey(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Toluca win, 4 draws, 1 Guadalajara Chivas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas 2-2 Toluca | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Guadalajara Chivas 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca on Mar 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (23 points from 14 matches) and Guadalajara Chivas sit 2nd (26 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 23 |
A question about Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy