Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 10Kick-off on October 2, 2023 at 11:20 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Toluca and Guadalajara Chivas drew 1-1 on October 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 62′I. LópezToluca
- 69′R. MarínGuadalajara Chivas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Guadalajara Chivas have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2023 | Club America(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 3, 2023 | CF Pachuca(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Monterrey(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2023 | Mazatlán(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2023 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Club America(away) | 0-4 | Liga MX |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Leon(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Monterrey(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Guadalajara Chivas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas 2-2 Toluca | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Guadalajara Chivas 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca on Mar 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Guadalajara Chivas sit 12th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy