Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 9Kick-off on September 17, 2016 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Toluca won 2-1 on September 17, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 2′F. UribeToluca
- 38′Pablo César BarrientosToluca (pen.)
- 76′A. PulidoGuadalajara Chivas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Guadalajara Chivas have 4, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Monarcas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Veracruz(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 7, 2016 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2016 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Club America(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Atlas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Santos Laguna(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 7, 2016 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 8; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 4/8 | 3/8 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 1/8 | 3/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Guadalajara Chivas sit 12th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy